Professor Loui is officially on sabbatical from July 1, 2007 to June 30, 2008. Currently he is consulting for Cycorp in Austin, TX, on loan to the Heart and Vascular Institute at Cleveland Clinic.
Email is r.p.loui, gmail.com. Please note that loui@cs.wustl.edu, loui@cse.wustl.edu, and loui@ai.wustl.edu will become increasingly unreliable!
Some Obama images: St. Louis campaigner Jen Haro got me close enough
in May to remind him he signed my fifth grade yearbook; Some presidential
signatures with Obama's mixed in; The New York Times keeps printing
our class photo without my permission(!) -- I am in the front row on the
left; A letter from Harvard Law School in 1990; Our AI and Law conference
home page showing Obama as the banquet speaker (he was supposed to speak
in the Dred Scott courtroom, but his schedule forced us to substitute
Harvard's constitutional law professor and Director of JFK School of
Government, Fred Schauer).
Super Tuesday
my Jan 25 predictions: AL(+4), AK(-1), AO(-1), AZ(+4), AR(-5), CA(+22), CO(+9), CT(+2), DE(+1), GA(+15), ID(+4), IL(+61), KS(+2), MA(-15), MN(+8), MO(+2), NJ(-3), NM(0), NY(-38), ND(+1), OK(-10), TN(+10), UT(+3): TOTAL(+66)ERROR=44/1672=2.6%
my Feb 5 eve predicted allocations: AL(+7), AK(+7), AO(-1), AZ(-5), AR(-15), CA(-59), CO(+19), CT(+1), DE(+2), GA(+31), ID(+11), IL(+49), KS(+16), MA(-14), MN(+25), MO(0), NJ(-14), NM(-2), NY(-39), ND(+3), OK(-9), TN(-9), UT(+4): TOTAL(+23) ERROR=1/1672=0.06%
delegate actual differences: AL(+2), AK(+4), AO(-1), AZ(-6), AR(-19), CA(-36), CO(+20), CT(+4), DE(+3), GA(+35), ID(+12), IL(+55), KS(+14), MA(-17), MN(+24), MO(0), NJ(-11), NM(-2), NY(-46), ND(+3), OK(-10), TN(-12), UT(+5): TOTAL(+22)
My 2008 March 1 electoral college predictions:
Obama beats McCain, 297-241. Obama swing states: CO, IA, MI, MN, MO, NH, OR, PA, VA, WV, and WI.
Clinton beats McCain, 274-264. Clinton swing states: AR, MI, NV, NM, OH, OR, PA.
SWING:
O:CO(+5),IA(+3),MI(-1),MO(-6),MT(-4),NV(-4),NM(+3),NC(-7),ND(0),OH(-2),PA(+5),SC(-3),VA(-3),WI(+3)
M:AK(-8),AZ(-15),FL(-7),IN(-2),NE(-10),NH(-9),SD(-10),TX(-8)
SOLID:
DEM:CA,CT,DE,DC,HI,IL,ME,MD,MA,MN,NJ,NY,OR,RI,VT,WA
REP:AL,AR,GA,ID,KS,KY,LA,MS,OK,TN,UT,WV,WY
CLOSE (June 18):
AHEAD (June 18):
Most Recent Questions for Hillary Clinton's Campaign:
- How does one get outspent by 4:1 and 5:1 when one has
been outraised by only 5:4? Doesn't that mean there is a
serious leak somewhere between money coming in and money
going out? Clinton's overhead is 4x larger than Obama's?
- How is it that the Clinton campaign donations over
$2000 add up to 25% more than Obama's, but Obama outraises
Clinton 2:1 among donors under $200? How many of those big
Clinton donors want their money back?
Most Recent Questions for John McCain's Campaign:
- How does a campaign spend $8M in April, one third of
what each Democrat spent, when one is unopposed? How does
one spend $8M, nearly one half of the $18M raised in that
month, when one is allocating 90-100% of the time to
fundraising? Isn't that a serious inefficiency?
- How does a Republican get out-fundraised in a state
like Texas by both Obama and Clinton, 8M:8M:6M? In North
Carolina, 2.6M:1.8M:800k? In Idaho, by Obama, 290k:165k?
Aren't those red states?
(Source: FEC Reporting, www.fec.gov)
Current Outlandish Predictions:
- If Morgan Fairchild endorses Obama, Obama will win Texas.
- If Morgan Fairchild endorses Obama, her career will last at least another twenty years.
- If Brad DeLong does not endorse Obama before June, DeLong will not be Secretary of Treasury.
- If Brad DeLong is not Secretary of Treasury under Obama, he will not be Harvard's President after Drew Gilpin Faust.
- If Brad DeLong does serve under Obama, he will be an Ivy League President before the age of sixty.
- Or has DeLong already spoken? here and here
- Obama-Gore is a Constitutionally permissible pairing, and a winner.
- Obama-Richardson would win Texas and rewrite the electoral map.
- Obama-McCaskill would win Missouri and produce the first woman President in 2016.
- Obama-Boxer, Obama-Doyle, Obama-Sebelius, Obama-Powell, and Obama-Webb are not inconceivable.
- Don't bet on Bradley, Edwards, or Napolitano (who will be offered other jobs by Obama), or Nunn, Rendell, or Clinton (who seem poor fits). Still thinking about Strickland...
- Obama-Biden is still my preference for 2008.
|
2007 Presidential Campaign Contributions BY Self-Reported Occupation and Employer
Wikipedia Punahou School People (Short List) snapshot and current version
Wikipedia Punahou School People (Long List) snapshot and current version
Recently teaching:
- CSE100 (Computing Tools, Fall and Spring)
- CSE104 (Web Development, Fall)
- CSE513A (Graduate AI Programming Project, Fall)
- CSE547T (Formal Languages and Automata, Spring)
Visitor hosting in 2006:
Ben Goertzel (3/3)NIH gene-finding investigator and machine cognition guru
David Goldberg (3/4)most cited author in cs (textbook on genetic algorithms)
Lotfi Zadeh (4/21)father of fuzzy logic
Public talks in 2006: UIUC Urbana AIVR (Fall)Olin Women's Graduate Fellowship Conference, Temple Grandin panelist (Fall)JURIX keynote speaker Paris (Winter)Yeshiva NYC Law School conference on graphical presentation of evidence (Winter)UMSL CS (Spring)
From the cell phone:
 the sorbonne at night (JURIX)
 eiffel tower down the hill (JURIX)
 inside the french senat (JURIX)
 old lisboa and giraffe (CMSRA)
Recently funded as co-PI on U.S. Government subcontracts with PI Lockwood (now at Stanford), co-PI Pless
Lockwood-Pachos-Moscola-Loui (LPML) collaboration began April 2001 and FPgrep/FPsed notarized August 2001
The LPML patent helped start "the #1 tech startup in St. Louis" according to the RCGA
|
If you would like a network appliance that can: |
|
Suppress viruses as soon as they are known
Classify and tag spam and spim
Log keyword occurrences in packets
Block, drop, or re-route traffic based on packet contents
Mark up or translate text as it flows by
...all at OC-48 line speed...
|
Then Global Velocity has a content-based firewall for you.
They're affordable. Ask your sysadmins why they haven't already bought one.
Disclosure: Prof. Loui and his group have received research funding through Global Velocity in the recent past, for the development of other devices related to national security.
|
Papers expected in 2007-2008 (some w/co-authors):
"Study of journal citations for 100 US CS departments"
"Streaming AI: how much intelligence at network speed?"
Papers appearing 2005-2008 (some w/co-authors):
"In praise of scripting"
"High speed identification of language and script"
"Dynamics of rule revision in legislative games"
"Game mechanisms and procedural fairness"
"Citation-based study of Toulmin"
"Mathematical difference between legal & scientific theory formation"
"Hardware accelerated algorithms for semantic processing"
"Information processing at very high ingestion rates"
"Transformation algorithms for data streams"
"A modest proposal for annotating the dialectical state of a dispute"
"Streaming hierarchical clustering for concept mining"
"Sensitivity analysis of gigabit concept mining system"
"Purely probabilistic negotiating agents: pessimism, punishment, and laissez-faire paths"
"Comment on the Cardozo conference"
Well-known work (w/collaborators):
- Mathematical models of argument
- Why not tell the truth about "if ... then ..."?
- Logical models of analogy and precedent
- Why not consider the arguments of past cases?
- Optimal stochastic & multidimensional paths in networks
- Why not assign links random-variables/vectors, then maximize utility?
- Scripting in gawk
- Why not program quickly, effectively, and easily in the language of the unix gods?
- Philosophy of computing / philosophy of AI
- Why aren't games also computations? Aren't bureaucrats robots?
- Interval-models of probability and decision
- Why not build some higher-order robustness into the model?
- Dialogue models of negotiation
- Why not model the process of reaching agreement?
- H.L.A. Hart and defeasibility
- Why not give credit where credit is due?
- Gnu virtual memory optimizations
- Why not copy instead of chasing pointers on disk?
- FPGA hardware for high-throughput AI
- Why not inspect the contents of every packet in the network?
Well-known dissertation students (including co-external):
- Guillermo Simari (D.Sc., 90)
- Mathematical treatment of defeasible reasoning and argument
- Argentina is now known for tango and defeasible argumentation.
- Gadi Pinkas (D.Sc., 92)
- Inference in symmetric connectionist networks
- Everything Pinkas touches: software in the Knesset, his "perfect D.Sc. thesis", & Amdocs, turns gold.
- Gerard Vreeswijk (Ph.D., 93, VU Amsterdam)
- Defeasible reasoning and dialectics
- Vreeswitt is the Wijkgenstein of his generation of Dutch logicians.
- Diana Moore (B.Sc., 96)
- Negotiation and argument
- Parsons-Sierra-Jennings (one of the biggest works in multiagent systems) says to look to Moore.
- Moshe Looks (Ph.D., 07)
- Competent program evolution
- Accelerating genetic programming so it is fast enough to be practical.
Not-Quite-Wiki: Ronald Loui (b. Honolulu, 1961) is an active American
scholar and engineer working at the interface of artificial intelligence
and philosophy. In his work he uses computation to propose new models
for logic, decision, and games. His models are distinctive because
they provide mathematical description of the process, rather than
just the outcome. He is primarily an innovator, mathematical modeler,
polemicist, and consummate gawk programmer.
His undergraduate dissertation (Harvard, 1982), on Optimal Stochastic
Paths, shared the Association for Computing Machinery Undergraduate
Award and continues to have impact on communications and robotics.
His doctoral dissertation (Rochester, 1987) is regarded as the first
attempt at a Mathematics of Argument and was nominated for the
JOURNAL OF PHILOSOPHY dissertation award. This thesis has been
useful in AI and Law but also animates work on decisionmaking, knowledge
representation, discourse interpretation, and planning.
His third major intellectual work (Donostia, 2003; Rochester, 2005;
Urbana and Sorbonne, 2006; PROBABILITY AND INFERENCE, 2007) is a
purely probabilistic model of the Process of Negotiation, which
seeks to turn attention away from Nash's game theoretic concept of
equilibrium.
He recently completed work on a significant national security project with
collaborators in computer networking and datamining, and is co-patentor of
a content-based internet firewall. The results of his GAWK programming
are currently being used around the world by intelligence agencies.
He is best known on the internet as the first person to write in detail
about the superiority of scripting languages ("Why GAWK for AI?", ACM
SIGPLAN, 1995; see also "In Praise of Scripting," IEEE COMPUTER, 2008, to
appear). Between 1992 and 1996, his research group built a legal citation
database and citation search engine called Room5 (ICAIL, 1997), and
during that time, his former summer program student Scott Hassan left St.
Louis for Stanford to write backrub, the google prototype for
Sergey Brin and Larry Page. Another former student and co-author of An
Argument Game, Bill Chen, is a Berkeley Mathematics Ph.D. and World
Championship caliber poker player. Other notable undergraduate and summer
co-authors include the co-founder of a computer security firm, the water
animator in Riven and The Matrix III, doctorates at Berkeley
and MIT in computer science, a Ph.D. at Stanford in physics, a Rhodes
Scholar from Harvard, and some outstanding writers, filmmakers, and
prosecutors. All three of his doctoral students (Guillermo Simari, Gadi
Pinkas, Moshe Looks) have been nominated for national dissertation awards,
and all of his postdoctoral visitors (Gerard Vreeswijk, Bart Verheij,
Fernando Tohme) have published in AI JOURNAL after visiting.
Ronald P. Loui is an Associate Professor of Computer Science and
Engineering at Washington University in St. Louis, where he started after
a year as a Sloan Cognitive Science Fellow (Stanford, 1988).
Philosophical Family Tree from https://webspace.utexas.edu/deverj/personal/philtree/philtree.html (see my list-version):
Leibniz Wolff Knutzen Kant Reinhold Trendelenburg Morris Royce Cohen Nagel Kyburg>> Ron Loui
Some Public Anecdotes about Some Public Persons
Pragmatics Mantra (Part One) for Programmers
Serious Philosophical Quips
Project Management Advice for students in CS436S Software Engineering Workshop
Some Remarks about Henry Kyburg as Advisor,
on the Occasion of his Graduate Education Achievement Award
Notes for Speaker Tweakers -- My DIY Speaker Mods This Year
Cardinals Offensive Production By Player RBIPCT+OBA 2007
Dozen things you didn't know about Professor Loui:
- He applied only to colleges Harvard and Yale because he wanted to play full contact, full pad IM football.
- He has been asking his fiancé for a large-diameter bass-head tweneboa djembe drum for four years.
- His favorite movie is The Fountainhead.
- He involuntarily anticipates when clocks in a room are about to read exactly 3:14.
- His first programming language was BASIC (specifically HP2100 time shared BASIC).
- In the past two years, five Cardinals pitchers (Carpenter, Mulder, Isringhausen, Suppan and Hrabosky) have lived in his neighborhood.
- He thinks he just found a signed Harry Clarke etched print among the art he bought years ago in a south city dive. You be the judge.
- His totemic animal is the bottlenose dolphin.
- His dog looks like Audrey Hepburn, see here (and the Chicago Tribune's celebrity lookalike contest).
- His mother graduated from Women's Medical College of Pennsylvania (because Stanford Med did not accept Chinese).
- His childhood teams were the Chicago Cubs, the Green Bay Packers, and the Dallas Cowboys.
- He is NOT a baby boomer.
- (He's the guy who plans to be leading the X- and Y-gens when boomers retire).
Last updated 9/25/06
|
